XRP ($XRP$) is demonstrating significant relative strength, breaking out from a key resistance level in a move that contrasts sharply with the subdued, range-bound activity in Bitcoin and Ether. The asset climbed 3.6% to $2.31, driven by a surge in trading volume and renewed institutional optimism as crucial U.S. exchange-traded fund (ETF) filings move closer to potential approval.
The breakout above the $2.28 resistance level was backed by substantial market conviction. Trading volume exploded by 86% above the 24-hour average, with 165 million XRP changing hands during the move. This high-volume push suggests significant institutional participation and controlled accumulation rather than purely retail-driven speculation.
ETF Filings Force the Narrative
The primary catalyst behind the renewed interest is a series of strategic ETF filings. Canary Capital Group filed an amended prospectus for its proposed Canary XRP ETF (Nasdaq ticker: $XRPC$), a move that moves the fund closer to a potential U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) decision under Section 8(a). The filing details a sophisticated institutional framework, naming Gemini Trust Company and BitGo Trust Company as custodians and selecting the CoinDesk XRP CCIXber 60m New York Rate as its pricing benchmark.
This move, combined with a parallel filing from 21Shares, has triggered what market analysts, including Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas, see as a potential “automatic-effectiveness” countdown. The dual filings may force the SEC’s first major decision on an XRP-based spot product, setting a precedent similar to the one that led to the approval of spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs. This institutional momentum was further bolstered by Ripple’s recent announcements of new partnerships with Mastercard and WebBank for its RLUSD stablecoin settlement.
On-Chain Data Signals Network Growth
Beyond the ETF narrative, on-chain metrics reveal tangible growth in the XRP Ledger network. Over the past 48 hours, 21,595 new XRP wallets were created, marking the largest spike in new user adoption in over eight months. This signals that the rally is supported by genuine network expansion, not just derivatives speculation.
The whale-watching data, however, paints a mixed picture. While 900,000 XRP were transferred to exchanges over the past five days—suggesting potential profit-taking—net exchange reserves remain at historically low levels, indicating a broader holding sentiment.
Technical Levels and the Path to $2.80
The breakout has established a new bullish market structure. The price has successfully consolidated above the $2.30 psychological level, with technical support now solidified at the former $2.27-$2.28 resistance zone. Traders are now watching the immediate resistance cluster at $2.35–$2.40.
XRP’s ability to hold above its new $2.30 support will be critical in determining its next move. A sustained consolidation here would confirm the breakout and build a base for a run toward higher targets. Failure to hold this level would risk a retest of the $2.13–$2.15 range. However, if the current institutional momentum is sustained, analysts have set their sights on a technical price target between $2.54 and $2.80 in the near term.
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