Key Points
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Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 3.4% to a record above 57,000 following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s supermajority election victory.
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The “Takaichi Trade” rippled globally, pushing gold above $5,000 per ounce and bitcoin briefly to $72,000.
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Markets are pricing in aggressive fiscal stimulus from Japan, reinforcing a broader global risk-on and reflationary narrative.
Global markets surged into risk-on mode after Japan delivered a decisive political outcome, with investors rapidly repricing assets across equities, commodities, and crypto. Japan’s Nikkei 225 smashed through record levels on Monday following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s commanding “supermajority” election victory, triggering what traders have dubbed the “Takaichi Trade” a synchronized rally that lifted bitcoin to $72,000 and sent gold above $5,000 an ounce.
The move underscores how political clarity in a major economy can act as a catalyst far beyond domestic markets, especially at a time when global investors are primed for fiscal expansion and reflationary signals.
Japan’s Mandate Sparks Equity Breakout
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 jumped 3.4% on Monday, decisively breaching the 57,000 level for the first time in its history, according to Nikkei Asia. The rally followed Takaichi’s landslide victory in Sunday’s general election, which delivered her coalition a supermajority and removed lingering political uncertainty.
Markets quickly interpreted the result as a green light for aggressive fiscal expansion. Takaichi has outlined a ¥20 trillion (roughly $135 billion) stimulus package focused on infrastructure investment, industrial policy, and broad-based tax cuts a sharp reaffirmation of Japan’s commitment to growth-first economics.
Japanese equities, already buoyed by corporate reform and a weak yen, responded with a broad-based surge led by industrials, exporters, and financials.
The “Takaichi Trade” Goes Global
The optimism did not stop at Japan’s borders. As Asian markets digested the scale of the mandate, the rally spilled into global assets. Gold surged past the psychologically significant $5,000-per-ounce mark, extending its multi-year advance amid expectations of sustained fiscal stimulus and currency debasement pressures.
Bitcoin followed suit. The world’s largest cryptocurrency briefly touched $72,000 during Asian trading hours before consolidating above $70,000. The move reinforced bitcoin’s sensitivity to global liquidity narratives, particularly those tied to expansionary fiscal policy and rising sovereign debt.
U.S. equity futures also opened higher, reflecting confidence that Japan’s stimulus push could add momentum to global growth at a time when investors remain wary of slowing demand elsewhere.
Political Endorsements Add to Momentum
The market euphoria was amplified by swift international congratulations. U.S. President Donald Trump publicly praised Takaichi’s victory, alongside U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, signaling policy alignment between Tokyo and Washington.
Trump has openly embraced bullish market rhetoric, recently reiterating his ambition to see the Dow Jones Industrial Average reach 100,000 before the end of his term a doubling from current levels. The Dow closed above 50,000 for the first time on Friday, reinforcing the broader tone of optimism in U.S. markets.
Macro Implications for Crypto and Commodities
For bitcoin and gold, Japan’s election outcome adds to a growing list of macro drivers reinforcing the case for scarce assets. Large-scale fiscal stimulus in a major economy increases expectations of global liquidity, weakens fiat confidence at the margin, and supports hedges against long-term monetary debasement.
At the same time, the synchronized rally highlights how tightly connected crypto has become to traditional macro narratives. Bitcoin’s reaction was less about Japan specifically and more about what the victory represents: political decisiveness, fiscal expansion, and risk appetite returning to global markets.
Looking Ahead
While the initial surge reflects optimism, sustainability will hinge on execution. Investors will closely monitor how quickly Takaichi’s stimulus measures move from proposal to implementation, and whether they translate into durable growth rather than short-term market sugar highs.
For now, the “Takaichi Trade” has delivered a powerful reminder of how political outcomes can act as accelerants across asset classes. With Japanese equities at record highs, gold breaking new ground, and bitcoin reclaiming momentum above $70,000, markets are signaling a renewed willingness to price in growth and the risks that come with it.
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