SKN | Oil Drops While Crypto Rises as Trump Sends Mixed Signals on Iran Conflict

Key Points

• Oil prices plunged sharply after President Donald Trump suggested the Iran war could soon end.
• Bitcoin reclaimed the $70,000 level while the broader crypto market rose more than 3%.
• Mixed messaging from the White House has left investors uncertain about the conflict’s trajectory.

Global markets experienced another round of volatility after Donald Trump delivered conflicting signals about the state of the conflict with Iran.

In a phone interview with CBS News, Trump suggested the military campaign had largely succeeded.

The president said the war appeared “pretty much complete” after U.S. forces reportedly struck more than 3,000 Iranian targets during the first week of operations.

Following those comments, oil markets reacted immediately. Prices for West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil plunged roughly 28%, falling from around $118 per barrel to near $85 within hours.

Crypto Markets Gain as Risk Appetite Returns

While oil markets dropped, digital assets posted modest gains as investors returned to risk assets.

Bitcoin climbed back above the $70,000 level, while Ether traded slightly above $2,000.

Overall, the cryptocurrency market rose roughly 3.1% over the previous 24 hours as sentiment improved.

Market participants interpreted falling oil prices as a potential signal of easing geopolitical pressure and lower inflation risks.

Trump’s Social Media Post Reignites Tensions

The optimism proved short-lived after Trump later posted a more aggressive message on Truth Social.

He warned that if Iran attempted to disrupt oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, the United States would respond with significantly stronger military action.

The renewed rhetoric injected fresh uncertainty into markets already grappling with geopolitical risk.

During a Republican fundraising event in Florida, Trump also suggested that the conflict may not yet be fully resolved.

Analysts Expect Crypto to Follow Macro Trends

Market analysts say cryptocurrencies will likely continue moving in tandem with broader risk assets while geopolitical tensions remain unresolved.

According to Augustine Fan, an executive at trading analytics firm SignalPlus, crypto markets currently lack a strong independent narrative.

Instead, digital assets are reacting to the same macro factors influencing equities and commodities — particularly movements in energy markets.

Oil’s rapid swing of more than $30 within 24 hours has become a key driver of global investor sentiment.

Uncertainty Around Conflict Remains

Some analysts believe that if the conflict truly de-escalates, financial markets could see a broader relief rally.

Andri Fauzan Adziima, research lead at Bitrue, said lower oil prices and reduced geopolitical tension could boost risk appetite and support cryptocurrencies.

However, doubts remain after Iranian officials reportedly rejected Trump’s claims that the war was nearing completion, stating that Iran would determine when the conflict ends.

For now, investors appear to be bracing for continued volatility as markets respond to shifting geopolitical developments.