Bitcoin (BTC) closed August on a weak note, signaling mounting pressure on bullish momentum and raising the stakes for a critical defense of the $100,000 level. After touching fresh all-time highs above $124,000 earlier in the month, BTC has since reversed course, logging three consecutive weekly declines that leave bulls scrambling to protect key support zones.
Market Turns After Record Highs
Bitcoin’s rally to over $124,000 in mid-August was met with heavy selling pressure, leading to a sharp reversal. The month closed with a red candle on the weekly chart, confirming bearish dominance in the short term. The decline has already pushed BTC more than 16% off its peak and placed it within striking distance of the psychologically important $100,000 mark.
Technical indicators also reinforce the bearish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) oscillator registered a bearish cross on the weekly close, a development often interpreted as a continuation signal for downside movement. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped to its lowest level since April, hovering just above 50 in neutral territory.
Critical Support Levels in Play
The immediate battle for direction centers around the $104,000 to $105,000 zone, a high-volume area of previous consolidation from May to June. A decisive defense here could offer bulls a foothold to reverse momentum. If the zone fails, traders will be watching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at $102,000 as the next support.
A close below $102,000 would mark the most bearish weekly candle since early spring and could set the stage for a test of $100,000. Losing that level could trigger accelerated selling pressure toward $98,000 — the last significant swing low — with $96,000 standing as the final line of defense for the current bull cycle.
Investor Sentiment and Market Psychology
The $100,000 threshold carries more than just technical significance. Often referred to as the “laser eyes” milestone in crypto culture, the level is deeply symbolic for retail investors and institutions alike. A sustained break below it would embolden bearish narratives, particularly the thesis that Bitcoin’s long-term top may already be in.
For bullish investors, the defense of $100,000 represents an opportunity to reassert control and rebuild confidence. A reversal candle forming around $105,000 could spark renewed optimism, especially if accompanied by strong volume inflows. Market psychology at this juncture is highly sensitive — buyers stepping in aggressively could mark the beginning of a fresh rally, while hesitation may allow bears to tighten their grip.
What Comes Next
The first week of September is shaping up as a defining moment for Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory. Holding the $104,000–$105,000 range could stabilize sentiment and potentially pave the way for a recovery attempt. A failure to do so, however, may open the door to a deeper correction, putting Bitcoin’s symbolic $100,000 support directly in play.
For investors, the message is clear: volatility is likely to remain elevated as markets test these levels. While short-term pressures favor the bears, Bitcoin’s long-term narrative as a scarce digital asset remains intact. Whether bulls can defend the $100,000 line in September may prove pivotal in determining the strength of that narrative for the rest of the year.
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