Ether is showing an unusual degree of resilience against bitcoin on a day when risk sentiment remains broadly negative across the crypto market. While bitcoin (BTC) slipped over 2% to roughly $97,200, ether has held steady near $3,230, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio higher by more than 2% and signaling relative strength from the market’s second-largest asset.
The divergence comes at a pivotal moment for altcoins, with multiple cross-asset ratios now approaching technical levels that could define the next phase of market rotation. Below are the three charts crypto traders and analysts are watching closely.
1. ETH/BTC Ratio Nearing Breakout Zone
The ETH/BTC pair on Binance remains locked inside a downward-sloping consolidation channel — a counter-trend structure that formed after the strong ETH rally from May through August. The channel’s gentle slope suggests the pattern is less a reversal and more a cooling-off period following months of outperformance.
A decisive breakout above the upper boundary would signal a renewed preference for ether relative to bitcoin, often a leading indicator of capital rotation into altcoins.
Momentum indicators support this setup:
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The MACD histogram is preparing to cross above zero, a classic signal of strengthening bullish momentum.
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Relative strength measures also indicate waning downside pressure.
If confirmed, a breakout could accelerate flows into ETH/BTC, setting the stage for broader altcoin participation.
2. ETH/USD Holding Firm as Sellers Show Exhaustion
Ether’s dollar pair mirrors the cross-asset ratio, also moving within a counter-trend downward channel. Daily candles over the past several sessions show long downside tails — a sign that buyers are actively absorbing sell pressure around the $3,000 support region.
This price behavior suggests seller exhaustion, a setup that often precedes upside reversals. But as with ETH/BTC, a clear breakout from the channel remains essential to confirm a broader bullish shift.
Traders are watching for:
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A daily close above the channel top
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Expansion in volume to confirm trend reversal
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Follow-through toward the $3,400–$3,500 resistance cluster
A strong ETH recovery in dollar terms would reinforce the macro thesis of altcoin resilience.
3. XRP/BTC Compression Is Reaching Its Breaking Point
The XRP/BTC ratio has been coiling inside a four-year consolidation range, one of the longest compression phases among major crypto assets. Historically, such multi-year squeezes precede large directional moves once momentum finally resolves.
If ether extends its relative outperformance, many analysts believe XRP could be one of the first high-cap tokens to follow, especially given its strong historical correlation to periods of broad altcoin rotation.
Key levels to watch:
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Upper boundary of the multi-year range for breakout confirmation
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Rising volume as signal of institutional participation
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Reaction to BTC dominance shifts
If ETH regains leadership across the market, XRP/BTC could finally see the catalyst it has lacked for years.
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