Market Reacts to Fed Policy Shift
Crypto markets weakened Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest rate cut failed to sustain risk appetite, pushing Bitcoin (BTC) lower and triggering volatility across major altcoins. XRP, which briefly attempted a breakout above the key $2.67 resistance, reversed course to trade around $2.59, down 1.5% on the day. The rejection comes amid a fragile macro backdrop where investors are re-evaluating digital assets’ resilience against shifting interest rate expectations.
While the Fed’s 25-basis-point cut was widely anticipated, the tone of Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks—signaling caution about inflation persistence—appeared to temper hopes for a swift easing cycle. The resulting move sent BTC below $114,000, erasing early-session gains, while Ether (ETH) slipped 0.9% to $3,460.
Technical and Sentiment Pressure on XRP
For XRP traders, the failed breakout at $2.67 reinforced the view that bullish momentum remains capped without broader market confirmation. The $2.50–$2.55 support zone has held since mid-October, but declining volume on upward moves suggests waning conviction among short-term buyers.
“XRP’s chart is flashing fatigue,” said Marcus Noland, technical strategist at DigitalWave Analytics. “If Bitcoin remains below $115K and global liquidity stays tight, we could see a retest toward $2.45 before a sustainable rebound.”
Data from Coinglass showed long liquidations totaling $38 million in the past 24 hours across major exchanges, underscoring how leveraged positions magnified downside moves. Meanwhile, open interest in XRP futures declined 4.2%, signaling traders are de-risking rather than doubling down.
Macro Context: Rate Cuts Aren’t Always Bullish
Historically, rate cuts have been a double-edged sword for crypto markets. While lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin and XRP, they also often coincide with economic uncertainty—dampening speculative appetite.
The latest Fed action comes as global equity markets show mixed reactions: the S&P 500 edged down 0.3%, while the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened slightly, suggesting safe-haven demand persists. In this environment, digital assets remain caught between macro relief and risk aversion.
On-chain metrics offer a nuanced picture. Despite the price dip, XRP’s daily active addresses rose 5.8% week-over-week, and transaction volumes across the Ripple network remain stable—indicating that fundamental network activity is not deteriorating.
Investor Behavior and Strategy Outlook
Psychologically, traders appear torn between optimism about long-term adoption and caution over short-term macro triggers. Professional funds are reportedly rotating toward Bitcoin and stablecoins, while retail investors remain sidelined amid uncertainty about the Fed’s next move.
From a strategic perspective, analysts say the $2.67 zone remains the “make-or-break” threshold for XRP’s next major trend. A decisive close above it could open room toward $2.85, but a breakdown below $2.50 might invite a sharper correction.
Forward-Looking Perspective
As crypto markets recalibrate to post-Fed realities, traders face a familiar tension between technical resistance and macro pressure. For XRP, resilience will depend less on hype and more on whether liquidity returns to the broader digital asset space. Until then, caution—not conviction—appears to be the dominant trade.
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